The Covid Cohort
2022 applicants – where are they now?

Assets from webinar held on 23 November 2021

What the latest research reveals about 2022 university applicants.

Get in touch




Methodology: Quantitative tracking study
Navigating Changing Options (NCO)


We conduct regular large-scale online tracking surveys with registered members of the TSR community and site visitors. This webinar covers findings from Waves 5 and 6. Wave 7 will be announced soon and will track 2022 entry students in Year 13, and 2023 entry students in Year 12.


Here's a glimpse at what was going on while the surveys were live:


Wave 5  (12th - 29th June 2021)

Summer Term
2022 cohort in Year 12; 2023 cohort in Year 11

  • 31M have had two vaccines (41M have had one)
  • Plans to relax restrictions delayed until July
  • Euro 2020 football tournament, Health Secretary Matt Hancock resigns, G7 summit completed

680 Year 12s surveyed (2022 entry)


Wave 6 (10th - 24th October 2021) - not yet published

Autumn Term 
2022 cohort in Year 13; 2023 cohort in Year 12

  • 45M have had two vaccines, 49M have had one and 4M have had a booster
  • Covid-19 cases rising
  • MP Sir David Amness killed; Covid test lab suspended (wrong results); reports of spiking by injection

344 Year 13s surveyed (2022 entry)


Please note: NCO reports are free and exclusive for UPP clients (Find out more about UPP)


Previous NCO waves and key events which coincided with the research


Wave 1

April 2020

885 Year 11s (2022 cohort)

  • GCSEs cancelled (CAGs)
  • Lockdown in UK
  • Schools close

Wave 2

June 2020

1,554 Year 11s (2022 cohort)

  • Schools submit CAGs
  • Support bubbles
  • Non-essential retail re-opens
  • Test and trace

Wave 3

October 2020

617 Year 12s (2022 cohort)

  • GCSE results determined by CAGs
  • Tier regulations in place

Wave 4

February to March 2021

766 Year 12s (2022 cohort)

  • Lockdown 3
  • Vaccines
  • Return to classroom learning



Key concerns for 2022 applicants

By October, many of this cohort's key concerns from March had reduced. However, some were still worried about taking exams:


The fact that I’ve never taken a real public exam in my life, and I’m expected to do my A levels without experience and get top grades in the process is absolutely terrifying and very unsettling.

Applicant

Q: Which, if any, of the following are you worried about? (Please select all that apply)

(March Wave 4 Base: 731) (October Wave 6 Base 418)


Motivating myself to work

March
78%
October
66%

Catching up on lost teaching time

March
71%
October
48%

Missing face-to-face university open days

March
55%
October
28%

Missing UCAS/HE fairs

March
40%
October
16%

Top concerns for 2022 applicants in Wave 6 (October)


We are seeing a return to more normal concerns, like getting high enough grades and getting into university. However, students do still have concerns relating to the pandemic:

  1. Getting the grades I need (78%)
  2. Sitting exams/assessments (74%)
  3. Getting into my chosen university (71%)
  4. Getting onto my chosen course (62%)
  5. Uncertainty around grading (57%)
  6. Uncertainty around future lockdowns (46%)
  7. Losing further teaching time (41%)
  8. Not having the resources to work from home (e.g. space, technology) (21%)

With last year's exam results being teacher predicted the results were high. This resulted in universities upping their entry requirements which means I couldn’t apply to the universities I fell in love with.

Applicant

Access to devices for online study


Q: Thinking back to lockdown, what device did you primarily use for your online study? 

(Wave 5 Base 574)

Q: Was it your own, or did you have to share with someone else who was also studying/working from home? 

(Wave 5 Base 575)


Inequality - 12% of free school meals (FSM) respondents relied on mobile phones compared with 5% of all respondents. 28% of FSM were sharing a device with someone else (vs 14% overall). However, due to the online methodology for this research, the true inequality gap could be even wider.


I do not have a device to use at home and have to use my phone in order to study which makes life quite hard. I try to spend a lot of time after school in order to use the school computers but then find myself coming home quite late and not having much time to revise.

Applicant



Mental health

Q: How would you describe your mental health...Usually/At the moment? (5 point scale)

(Wave 1 Base: 843, Wave 2 Base: 1442, Wave 3 Base: 552, Wave 4 Base: 666, Wave 5 Base 580, Wave 6 Base 371)



The pandemic has been significant for 2022 applicants' mental health

Mental health has seen a sharp and sustained decline since the pandemic started. It has recovered a little since the beginning of 2021, but in October only 26% 2022 applicants described their mental health positively, compared with 61% pre-covid.


Q: To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements? (5 point scale)

(Wave 1 Base: 856, Wave 2 Base: 1442, Wave 4 Base: 664, Wave 5 Base 580, Wave 6 Base 372)



2022 applicants are feeling disconnected and unable to cope with uncertainty

The outlook has improved slightly since the start of the pandemic, but in October only around half of students said they knew how to connect with peers, and less than half felt they could cope with uncertainty. Only 64% reported that they have a support network they can reach out to.


% agree/
strongly agree

Wave 1
April 2020

Wave 4
March 2021

Wave 6
October 2021


I know how I can connect with coursemates/classmates


80%



56%


54%


I feel able to cope with the uncertainty at the moment


51%



40%


42%


I have a support network I can reach out to


65%



58%


64%




Impact on their futures


Q: Do you have any reservations about applying to university? (multiple choice)

(Wave 6 Base 389)


95% have reservations about applying to university


Cost of living at university
61%
Not being able to keep up with the work
53%
Future employability
45%
Uncertainty around online learning
43%
Uncertainty around covid-19
40%
Not getting the university experience
39%
Not getting value for money
34%
Moving away from home
30%
Degree not being valued
26%
None of the above
5%



Subject choices


82% said their subject choice was unaffected

Reasons for subject changes:

  • Time to reflect
  • Impacts of home learning
  • Job security
  • Move away from STEM

It made me rethink all the choices I had and gave me more time to look at other jobs I could do.

Applicant

Q: Has covid-19 impacted your choice of subject?

(Wave 6 Base 374)


Q: Has covid-19 impacted your choice of university?

(Wave 6 Base 375)

University choices


69% said their university choice was unaffected

Reasons for university changes:

  • University's response to Covid-19
  • Online learning
  • Lack of face-to-face visits
  • Staying close to home

When I saw the way certain universities treated students during lockdowns and closures, I was put off of some universities I had previously wanted to apply for.

Applicant



Open days - virtual and in-person


Q: Have you visited any of the following so far?

(Wave 6 Base 391)


Virtual/online open day
63%
On campus/in-person open day
37%
Neither
25%

78% found virtual events useful (Base 241)


98% found on campus events useful (Base 140)


Should you keep running virtual events?


95% of you said you saw virtual open days as part of your long-term strategy (webinar live poll)


The data shows students still want them too

42% plan to attend more virtual open days

57% plan to attend more on-campus open days

24% plan to attend neither


Q: How many [virtual and on-campus events] have you attended or do you think you will attend?

(Wave 6 Base 373)


Virtual events

  • 0 - 14%
  • 1  - 13%
  • 2 -19%
  • 3 - 18%
  • 4+ - 37%

Face-to-face events

  • 0 - 28%
  • 1  - 20%
  • 2 - 22%
  • 3 - 14%
  • 4+ - 16%


Q: Do you plan to attend any of the following in the future?

(Wave 6 Base Year 13 387, Year 12 278 )


Virtual/online

42%
56%

On-campus/in-person

57%
82%

Neither

24%
8%

Year 13

Year 12


How students feel about attending open day events


Q: How comfortable do you currently feel about attending mass gatherings, such as university open days and HE fairs?

(Wave 6 Base 367 )


65% quite or very comfortable

18% not at all or not very comfortable

Those moving away for university were more likely to feel very comfortable (29%) than those staying near home (11%)


Top ways to make prospective visitors feel more comfortable: good ventilation, require masks, require lateral flow tests, social distancing, small bookable sessions




What students think of open day events


Q: Which of the following words, if any, would you use to describe your experiences of attending Open Day(s) so far?

(Wave 6 Base 241 virtual open days, Base 142 on-campus )

Virtual

On-campus


Interesting

50%
82%

Encouraging

35%
70%

Organised

35%
64%

Efficient

34%
51%

Straightforward

43%
41%

Complicated

15%
9%

Stressful

11%
8%

Disorganised

14%
5%

Boring

30%
3%

Off-putting

10%
2%


What students want from open days



In-person events are about understanding the physical environment (campus, local area, housing) and getting a feel for what it would be like to live there; virtual events are more about convenience, trying out the course/teaching, and gathering information.


Top choices for virtual events -  specific course information, hear about student life/activities, ask questions, taster teaching e.g. lecture or workshop, available on demand


To find out more about the ways we will be taught (especially with COVID now) and some examples of what we will learn on our course

Applicant

Top choices for in-person events -  get a feel for campus/city, see accommodation, meet current students, ask questions, meet academics, understand where everything is, hear about student life/activities


The general environment/ vibe of the university and city in general. Seeing the facilities and meeting the teaching staff.

Applicant



WEBINAR LIVE POLL


We asked you...

Which event type performs better at converting visitors into applicants?

(59 responses)

Virtual open days had a better conversion rate
0%
Physical open days had a better conversion rate
61%
About the same
3%
Don't know - no data
29%
Don't know - only did physical events OR only did virtual events
7%



Applying to university


Q: How do you feel about applying to university? Please select the emoji which best describes you.

(Wave 6 Base 367)


Males more likely to feel

Females more likely to feel

Parents went to university more likely to feel

First in family to go to university more likely to feel



Q: Do you feel you have enough information to make a decision about which universities to put on your UCAS application?

(Wave 6 Base 373)


66% Yes (those achieving grades of AAA and above more likely to say yes)

Almost a quarter do not have all the information they need




What do applicants want information about?


Course info (modules, entry requirements)
74%
Flexibility of entry requirements
71%
Interviews/auditions
68%
Accommodation
67%
Applications/personal statements
65%
Info about the uni (facilities, support, SU)
62%
City/campus
61%
Campus open day or tour
50%
Work experience
42%
Virtual open days
36%
Something else
1%
None of the above
0%

Those who didn’t have enough information to make their choices were more like to need:

• Course info (86%) • Application/ personal statement guidance (74%) • Info about on-campus open days (59%)




University prospectus preferences




Q: How do you want to access university prospectuses?

(Wave 6 Base 365)


95% - want a prospectus


55% - want an online prospectus


41% - want a printed prospectus





Key takeaways

    1. Students' concerns are starting to shift back towards normal - getting the grades, sitting exams, and getting into university top the list
    2. Free school meals students are less likely to have access to devices for home study, and more likely to be sharing a device.
    3. Mental health has been declining since the pandemic. It is up slightly for Wave 6, but still well below pre-covid levels. Many students are finding it difficult to build a support network or cope with uncertainty.
    4. 95% have reservations about applying to university - mainly the concerns are about the cost of living, keeping up with the work, and employability. Almost a quarter of applicants say they need more information from universities.
    5. For the majority, covid has not affected their application decision (however, 11% said it impacted subject choice; 20% said it impacted university choice).
    6. There is still demand for virtual open days (37% say they will attend 4+ virtual open events) - but virtual open days are more likely to be seen by prospective applicants as "boring", "stressful" or "off-putting" than in-person events.
    7. 95% wanted university prospectuses (online versions were more popular than printed).

Want more student research or insights?
Contact us and get your media pack.

Get in touch